Bills vs Lions Betting Predictions, Odds, and Free Pick

By Rick Rockwell in NFL on August 22, 2019

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Minute Read

On Friday, August 23rd, the Buffalo Bills head out on the road to battle their preseason rival, the Detroit Lions, for the 38th time. These two teams hope to put their best foot forward in this Week 3 matchup where the starters play most of the first half. The Bills have looked strong in the preseason while the Lions are looking for their first win. Kickoff for the Bills vs Lions game inside Ford Field is at 8 PM ET.

Bills vs Lions Betting History

Betting Data Buffalo Bills Detroit Lions
2019 S/U Preseason Record 2-0 0-2
2018 Home 4-4 3-5
2018 Away 2-6 3-5
2018 ATS 7-9 9-7
2018 ATS Home 3-5 3-5
2018 ATS Away 4-4 6-2
2018 O/U 7-9 6-10
2018 O/U Home 5-3 2-6
2018 O/U Away 2-6 4-4

Buffalo vs Detroit Preseason Week 2 Game Preview

The Buffalo Bills and Detroit Lions are longtime preseason rivals due to former Bills’ owner Ralph Wilson orchestrating this arrangement. Wilson loved Detroit and Buffalo, as he resided in both cities before his passing. The two football teams have played against each other 37 times in the preseason, and it’s the Lions leading the series with a record of 24-12-1. In regular season action, the two teams have played against each other 11 times, and the Bills have the edge with a 6-4-1 record. Their last matchup against each other was in Week 15 of the 2018 season and Buffalo won 14-13.

Buffalo (2-0) is coming off two impressive exhibition victories over the Colts and the Panthers. In particular, their victory against Carolina in Week 2 was dominating. Buffalo went out to a 24-3 lead at halftime and cruised to a victory. This week, the Bills will look to keep the momentum going against a down, but not out, Lions team.

Detroit (0-2) has yet to put together a win in the preseason. They improved from the first to second week, but still came up short on the scoreboard. In fact, their starters on offense have yet to put any points up. This week, franchise QB Matt Stafford could sit out again. If so, the Lions will be looking at an uphill battle against one of the top defenses from last year.

Surprisingly, this spread opened as high as 2.5 points in favor of the Detroit Lions. However, most NFL betting sites quickly saw a drop in the spread as it’s now listed at even. The over/under opened as high as 43 points, but has come down a full point to 42 total points at the majority of sports betting sites.

Free NFL Sports Bet and Game Prediction: Buffalo Bills Moneyline (-120)

In their first two preseason games, the Bills starters and second string players have held opposing teams to just nine total points in the first half. In fact, they’ve shut out the starters in both games. In total, the Bills defense is only allowing 15 ppg.

Offensively, the Bills have scored 25.5 ppg and the starters looked strong against Carolina last week when they put up 10 points then left the game. Josh Allen had a solid performance, and the team seemed to move the ball at-will against a good Panthers defense.

The Lions have struggled greatly in their first two preseason games. The starters have yet to score any points and the team has only put up 10 total first half points so far. In Week 1, they were embarrassed by the Patriots as the Lions lost 31 to 3. Last week, Detroit played better football, but still gave up 17 points in the first half and were crushed by Houston’s starters. I don’t have a lot of confidence in Detroit this preseason, especially since their starting QB Matt Stafford isn’t going to play against Buffalo. If he does, it will only be for one drive.

Buffalo has won five of the last six regular season matchups. The Lions are 9-1 in the last 10 preseason head-to-head meetings. It should be noted that the majority of their matchups took place in Week 4 of the preseason where most teams don’t even play any starters.

Buffalo is 4-1 ATS and 4-1 SU in their last five overall games. The Bills are 5-2 SU in their last seven preseason games, and they defeated the Lions in their last preseason matchup. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five head-to-head meetings, which the Bills opened as the underdog and are still getting a point at some NFL betting sites.

The Detroit Lions are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 overall games, 1-4 SU in their last five games, 2-8 SU in their last 10 games against the AFC, and 1-7 SU in their last eight August games. Under head coach Matt Patricia, the Lions are 1-5 SU in preseason action.

I believe this game is pretty straight forward. Detroit has showed little in the way of their starters. Without Matt Stafford, they have no chance at winning this game. I expect the Bills’ defense to shut down Detroit’s Stafford-less offense, while Buffalo’s starting offense scores at least 10 points again. We can’t overlook the fact that Detroit is giving up 30.5 points per game this preseason.

If Stafford does play, which all signs are pointing to Matt being held out, he would only play for one series. Then, the Detroit offense will be handed over to Josh Johnson or David Sales. Both men have been seriously outplayed by Buffalo’s backup QB Matt Barkley who has gone 17 of 24 for 236 yards and 2 touchdowns. Barkley has looked great whenever he’s been in the game. With Allen getting most of the first half, Barkley will take the third quarter and Buffalo should have a big lead heading into the fourth quarter.

Take Buffalo to win the Bills vs Lions game outright. If you can find them getting points, that’s even better.

Bills vs Lions Betting Recap:

  • Oddsmaker: 5Dimes
  • Moneylines: Bills (-120) and Lions (+100)
  • Spread: PK (-110)
  • Over/Under: 42 total points (-110)
  • Prediction: Buffalo 27 – Detroit 17
Pick: Bills SU
-120

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Rick Rockwell

As a longtime freelance writer, avid sports fan, former athlete, and experienced sports bettor, Rick Rockwell has risen up the ranks at GamblingSites.org to become the self-professed "King of the Blog" in his first year with the site.

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